Wales vs Poland: Betting Odds & Prediction

(Featured image: Alamy Images)

Written by: Aled Edwards

Wales host Poland on Tuesday evening with a place at EURO 2024 at stake. 

Both sides won their qualifying semi-finals with relative ease, setting up this match in which the winner takes all. Kick-off is set for 7:45pm at the Cardiff City Stadium. 

Recent Form

Wales

The hosts continued a run of good form by comfortably defeating Finland 4-1 at home on Thursday evening. This win added to a run of seven games unbeaten for Wales. 

Wales have particularly impressed at home recently, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches on home turf and winning three of those. In their last seven home matches, Rob Page’s side failed to score only once, averaging two goals per game and exceeding their expected goal (xG) tally of 1.91. 

Wales have kept a clean sheet in three of their last seven home matches. However, the Dragons have conceded an average of one goal per game in that time, a worse tally than their expected goals against (xGA) of 0.87. 

Poland

The away side made a statement of intent on Thursday night, netting five goals in a dominant home victory over Estonia. 

Poland are unbeaten in their last five and come into the fixture after two consecutive wins. In their last ten matches, Poland have averaged an expected goal (xG) tally of 1.8 goals per game, which they have slightly bettered by netting 1.86 goals per game. 

Michal Probierz’s side have been particularly impressive defensively, keeping clean sheets in 50% of their last ten games. Poland have an expected goals against (xGA) tally of 1.07 which they have bettered by conceding only 0.8 goals per game in their last ten. 

Despite this, Poland have struggled away from home recently, losing four of their last five on the road. 

Prediction

Both sides come into the tie in good shape after comfortable victories last time out. Wales have never beaten Poland, however OddsNow expect that to change on Tuesday night as the home side look to continue their strong form on home turf.

With Poland struggling to take their strong home form on the road with them, backing Wales to qualify for their third consecutive European Championships is the sensible pick here. 

OddsNow's Pick: Wales to win (6/4 @ Sky Bet)

 

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