Swansea vs QPR: Betting Odds & Prediction

(Featured image: Alamy Images)

Written by: Aled Edwards

Swansea City host Queens Park Rangers on Monday afternoon, with both sides looking to secure their place in the Sky Bet Championship next season.

QPR come into the tie just four points above the relegation zone and three points behind their hosts. Kick-off is set for 3pm UK time at the Swansea.com Stadium.

Recent Form

Swansea

The hosts failed to beat relegation candidates Sheffield Wednesday in their last game, compounding their poor away record with a 1-1 draw at Hillsborough. Their home form has however improved recently, with Swansea defeating rivals Cardiff City 2-0 in their last home match to make it two consecutive wins at the Swansea.com Stadium.

Swansea boss Luke Williams struggled to pick up wins when he first took charge in January, winning only one of his first seven matches. Since then, Williams has managed to change the tune with his side losing only one of their last six games.

The Swans have struggled in front of goal at home this season with a shot conversion rate of 11%. Their expected goal (xG) tally sits at 1.32 in home matches, which they have failed to match by netting an average of only 1.16.

At home, Swansea have conceded in a worrying 79% of their matches. Their expected goals against (xGA) tally sits at 1.37, with the Swans conceding exactly that much. They kept a rare clean sheet in their last home outing against Cardiff.

QPR

The visitors picked up a crucial 2-1 win last time out against fellow relegation candidates Birmingham City, ending their three-game winless streak.

Martí Cifuentes will hope that his side scoring two goals is a sign of things to come, with QPR struggling to find prolific form all season. Cifuentes’ side rank 22nd in goals scored per match in the Championship this season with an average of only 0.9 goals per game. QPR’s average expected goal (xG) tally for the season sits at a worryingly low 0.91 away from home, which they have failed to match by netting only 0.79 goals per away match.

QPR have performed better defensively, outperforming an expected goals against (xGA) tally of 1.35 on the road by conceding only 1.11 goals per away game. The Hoops have kept a clean sheet in 32% of their away matches.

Prediction

With Swansea’s home form improving recently, OddsNow expect the hosts to make it three consecutive home wins. QPR will prove a difficult challenge with the hosts, and with both sides struggling in front of goal this season, a tight, low scoring match can be expected. 

OddsNow's Pick: Swansea City to win (6/4 @ Betway)