Spain vs Brazil: Betting Odds & Prediction
(Featured image: Alamy Images)
Spain host Brazil in an international friendly on Tuesday night, as the home side continue their preparations for the European Championships this summer.
The match takes place at the Santiago Bernabeu, with kick-off set for 8:30pm UK time.
Recent Form
Spain
Spain come into this off the back of a 1-0 defeat to Colombia, where their expected goal (xG) tally was 1.34 opposed to their expected goals against (xGA) of 1.04.
Prior to the Colombia loss, Spain topped Group A in the EURO 2024 qualifiers with a total of 21 points, four points clear of Scotland in second place. They won seven of their games whilst only losing one of their qualifying fixtures.
They scored 27 goals in total, giving them an average of 3.37 per match, whilst just conceding six goals with an average of 1.3. They managed a clean sheet in five and failed to score in just two of their ten qualifying matches.
Despite the recent defeat, Spain remain a side with a proven firepower in front of goal with a tendency to keep the ball out at the other end.
Up next: Brazil vs Spain at the Bernabéu. ⏳🔜 pic.twitter.com/m07G2j5XVN
— Madrid Zone (@theMadridZone) March 23, 2024
Brazil
Brazil will be in high spirits after beating England at Wembley through a goal from teenage sensation Endrick. They were struggling for form prior to the match, however.
In their last five, they have won and drawn once, whilst being defeated three times. They now sit sixth in the CONMEBOL World Cup 2026 Qualifying standings.
The period has seen the five-time world champions boast an xG of 1.62 whilst scoring an average of 1.6 goals a game. Defensively, they have an xGA of one, but have underperformed this by conceding 1.5 goals a game.
Brazil are without the services of key players such as Neymar, Alisson, Ederson, Casemiro, Marquinhos and Gabriel Magalhaes. As of this, in this international break a total of 11 uncapped Brazilians have been called up.
Prediction
Spain will no doubt be disappointed with the recent showing against Colombia and eager to return to the type of form which saw them finish comfortable winners during EURO 2024 qualifying. Their attacking threat was evidenced by their 27 goals across the eight matches. They also kept a clean sheet in 62.5% of them.
The away side meanwhile will be buoyant after the England victory but remain a depleted squad due to the absence of key players. While Brazilians can take hope from the recent victory, backing the home side on the moneyline makes the most sense here.