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Fiorentina host Champions League-chasing Roma on Sunday evening as the top four race heats up in Serie A.
Kick-off is set for 7:45pm UK time at the Artemio Franchi Stadium.
Fiorentina aim to leapfrog 7th place Napoli after securing a 3-2 lead against Maccabi Haifa in the first leg of their Conference League tie midweek. Viola come into the game on the back of mixed form which has seen them secure two wins, three days and suffer four losses in 2024.
Their last league outing saw a 0-0 draw at Torino while their last win came at home to Lazio (2-1) on February 26th.
The host's home form has been impressive having averaged two points per game on home soil this season. Fiorentina have scored 24 goals at home while only conceding 13, and have only lost to league leaders Inter Milan, second-placed Juventus and Empoli at the Artemio Franchi Stadium.
Roma meanwhile head into the match on the back of an emphatic 4-0 home victory over Brighton in the Europa League Round of 16. Daniele De Rossi's side currently find themselves in fifth, four points behind Bologna who occupy the final Champions League spot.
Attention turns to Sunday! 💪#ASRoma pic.twitter.com/WQ71mGAEtK
— AS Roma English (@ASRomaEN) March 8, 2024
Their last league outing saw another four goals as they dispatched of Monza with a 4-1 away victory. I Giallorossi have won their last three league games on the spin.
Roma's overall away form is a cause for concern, however. Of their 13 matches on the road this term, they've won just five whilst drawing two and losing six with an average of only 1.31 points per game.
19 goals scored on their travels is balanced against 18 conceded, and they're shipping goals at a slightly higher rate than expected (1.31 compared to 1.38).
Their attacking due of Romelu Lukaku and Paulo Dybala have notched 22 goals between them in the league and will be crucial if they're to secure three valuable points in Florence.
Fiorentina midfielder Arthur Melo is the injury concern for the weekend as he faces ankle problems. Winger Christian Kouamé and centre-back Lucas Martinez are also expected to miss out, while goalkeeper Oliver Christensen is also expected to miss out.
Roma striker Tammy Abraham has been out since June 2023 with a cruciate ligament injury. He should be back before the end of the month but not in time for this weekend. A muscular injury should see Roma right-back Rasmus Kristensen miss out too.
Fiorentina enter as very narrow favourites, likely due to Roma's mediocre away record. The hosts come in at 13/8 outright with Betfair, while Coral have Roma at 15/8 to win outright. The draw meanwhile stands at 12/5 with William Hill.
In a difficult game to predict, OddsNow back Fiorentina to further harm Roma's prospects of appearing in the Champions League next season. It's hard to ignore the away side's poor away form, while Fiorentina have proven a difficult nut to crack on home soil. Only the division's top two sides and Empoli have taken all three points in Florence this term.