FC Heidenheim vs Bayern Munich: Betting Odds & Prediction
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Mid-table FC Heidenheim host current Bundesliga champions Bayern Munich at the Voith-Arena on Saturday afternoon.
The hosts come into the game following a thrilling 3-3 draw at Stuttgart, while Bayern suffered a crushing 2-0 home defeat to Borussia Dortmund in 'Der Klassiker' last weekend. Kick-off is set for 2:30pm UK time.
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FC Heidenheim
Frank Schmitt's side have endured a fantastic first season in the German top-flight and find themselves in eleventh place heading into the fixture. The bulk of Heidenheim's success has come at home, where they've averaged an impressive 1.46 points per game across their 13 matches. They have not recorded a victory in their last six home matches, though.
Heidenheim haven't struggles for goals on home soil. Not only have they averaged 1.62 per match so far, they've also failed to score in just 15% of home fixtures. 46% have seen at least two Heidenheim goals, while 23% have seen three or more.
There is some concern over their defensive statistics, with them conceding an average of 1.54 goals per home game. While they've kept clean sheets in 31%, Heidenheim have shipped two or more in 54% of their home fixtures so far which will worry the home fans ahead of the visit of a wounded but still dangerous Bayern side.
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Bayern Munich
The Bundesliga champions have been left stunned by the performance of Xabi Alonso's Bayer Leverkusen side this season, finding themselves an astonishing 13 points behind the league leaders after 27 matches. The Dortmund loss last weekend all but ended any feint hopes Bayern had of retaining their title, meaning this will be the first time in 12 years that they don't lift the Champions Bowl.
Leverkusen's remarkable performance have made Bayern's form look worse than it actually has been, but Thomas Tuchel's side have ran into more trouble on the road than at home, even though they still boast the third best away record in the Bundesliga.
In away fixtures, they've averaged two points per match, compared to 2.43 at the Allianz Arena. Bayern have also lost two of their last five away outings in the league.
Goals haven't been a problem, with Bayern averaging 2.38 goals in away games and failing to score in 8%. They've scored at least two in 77% of these games, while 38% have seen them net at least three.
Their main problems have been at the back, where they've shipped an alarming average of 1.69 goals on the road. This is far higher than their expected goals against (xGA) tally of 1.21. They've also managed clean sheets in just 23% of away matches, while 54% have seen Bayern concede at least two goals.
Prediction
Though Bayern have encountered difficulty on the road at times this season, they should still have enough firepower to overcome Heidenheim who have little to play for at this stage of the Bundesliga season.
The home side have made habit of conceding goals in front of their own fans, while Bayern boast an impressive goalscoring record in away fixtures this season. The away side will also be buoyed by the presence of the division's topscorer in Harry Kane, who netted two in his side's 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season.