Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace: Betting Odds & Prediction

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Written by: Aled Edwards

Bournemouth host Crystal Palace on Tuesday evening with the visitors looking to remove any possibility of relegation and secure their place in the Premier League. 

The hosts find themselves in the mid-table of the Premier League, a comfortable sixteen points clear of the relegation zone with European places most likely out of reach. This Southern tie tends to go either way, with the two sides having not drawn in any of their last eight matches with each other. 

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Bournemouth

After a difficult period in February, Bournemouth have returned to fine form, winning three of their last four league matches, with their only league loss in six matches coming to champions Manchester City. The hosts won their last match 2-1 with a late winner against a struggling Everton side. 

Bournemouth have been formidable at home this season, taking 1.33 points per game from their matches at the Vitality Stadium. Andoni Iraola’s side have created plenty of chances at home this season, creating an expected goal (xG) tally of 1.51. They have however failed to match this, netting an average of 1.33 goals per home game. 

The Cherries have struggled to keep clean sheets at home, conceding in 80% of their matches at the Vitality. Iraola’s side have conceded a worrying average of 1.6 goals per home match with their expected goals against (xGA) tally sitting lower at 1.46. 

Crystal Palace

The visitors have failed to sustain any periods of form in the Premier League this season and this has remained a problem under new boss Oliver Glasner, with his side comfortably defeating Burnley 3-0 not long ago before proceeding to go winless in their next three matches.  

Crystal Palace drew 1-1 last time out against fellow relegation candidates Nottingham Forest despite leading for fifty minutes. They suffered a similar fate in the match prior, taking the lead against a struggling Luton Town in the eleventh minute, but conceding in the final minute of the game and taking only a point. 

The Eagles have only won 20% of their games on the road this year, coming away with no points at all from a worrying 47% of their away matches. Glasner’s side have an xG of 1.04 away from home in the league this season, netting an average of 1 goal per game, despite scoring in 87% of their matches on the road. 

Palace have an xGA tally of 1.53, conceding a worrying 1.93 goals per away game this season. Similarly to their opposition on Tuesday, the Eagles have struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding in 80% of their matches on the road this season. 

Prediction

The hosts come into the tie as favourites due to their recent form and Crystal Palace’s poor statistics on the road this season. Though the visitors will prove tough opposition for the Cherries, we expect them to take maximum points from the match. 

Both Bournemouth’s home games and Crystal Palace’s away games have involved an average of 2.93 goals per game this season, and with both sides struggling to keep clean sheets, OddsNow expect it to be a high scoring game. 

OddsNow's Picks: Bournemouth to win (10/11 @ BetGoodwin); Over 2.5+ goals scored (3/4 @ BetMGM)