Barcelona vs Napoli: Betting Odds & Prediction

Featured image: Alamy Images

Written by: Bradley Walker

Barcelona host Italian champions Napoli in the second leg of their Champions League Round-of-16 tie on Tuesday evening. 

The two sides played out a 1-1 draw in Naples last month as both look to secure their place in the quarter-finals. Kick-off is set for 8pm UK time at the Camp Nou. 

Recent Form

Barcelona

The Catalans remain third in La Liga following a 1-0 home victory against Mallorca on Friday evening. A sole Lamine Yamal goal secured the three points for Barca's third win in four league matches. 

Their home form has been solid this season. Not only have they won three of their last five at the Camp Nou (W3, D1, L1), but Barca have averaged 2.27 points per home match so far (W11, D1, L3). They've maintained an xG of 2.12 goals on home soil, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game. 

Barca have also scored in all of their league home matches, and games at the Camp Nou have averaged 3.47 goals in total this campaign. The four-time European champions have taken 14.33 shots per game on home territory, with a shot conversion rate of 15%. 

Napoli

The Blues' overall form has left much to be desired this season. Despite securing their third Serie A title last term, Napoli have failed to soar to the same heights and find themselves languishing in seventh in Italy's top-flight. Francesco Calzona's side are unbeaten across six matches in all competitions however, which includes a 2-1 home win over Juventus and the 1-1 draw with Barca last month. 

Their home and away form are identical this season, averaging 1.57 points per match (W6, D4, L4). They have lost two of their last five games on the road in Serie A, however. Napoli have failed to score in 43% of away matches, and have only kept clean sheets in 29%.

Their scoring record isn't terrible, averaging 1.64 goals on their travels compared to an xG of 1.55. They also average an xGA of 1.17 while conceding 1 goal per game on away soil. 

Prediction

While neither side's season has gone to plan, the draw in the first leg coupled with the second match falling at the Camp Nou surely tips the balance in Barcelona's favour. The home side come in at 10/11 with 888Sport to win on the night and therefore secure qualification. 

Both sides have also averaged relatively high-scoring games so far this season. 3+ goals to be scored comes in at 6/5 with vBet. 

OddsNow's Pick: Barcelona to win outright (10/11 @ 888Sport); Over 3+ goals to be scored (6/5 @ vBet)