Barcelona vs Inter Milan: 6/4 and 17/1 betting tips

Barcelona take on Inter in the second Champions League semi-final first leg, as they aim to keep their treble hopes alive.

Adam Drury (@Adam_Drury1) picks out a 6/4 bet builder with Midnite and 17/1 pick with Unibet for the match.

Barcelona vs Inter Milan picks - April 30, 2025

Barcelona to win

Barca are running towards the finish line in multiple competitions, winning 12 of their last 14 matches.

Saturday’s Copa del Rey final victory did come after extra time, but overcoming Real Madrid 3-2 is still an impressive result and puts them in a good position for this clash with Inter.

Hansi Flick’s side are particularly irresistible at home, where they have won eight of their last nine matches, including a 4-0 hammering of Borussia Dortmund in the quarter-final.

Inter have completely collapsed since booking their spot in the final four of this competition, losing three straight matches to surrender their Serie A advantage to Napoli and being knocked out of the Coppa Italia by Milan.

Over 1.5 goals

All but one of Barcelona’s home wins on this run have featured over 1.5 goals, with most of them featuring three or more.

Eleven of Barca’s 12 matches in this competition this season have included at least two goals and backing more here makes perfect sense.

Inter’s last five matches in this competition have seen at least two goals scored, including 2-1 and 2-2 scorelines against Bayern in the last round.

Hakan Calhanoglu shots

Calhanoglu has been firing off shots left, right and centre in recent weeks, and we are backing him to have one more for the short-price bet and two more for the long shot.

The Turkish midfielder had three efforts against Roma last time out on Sunday, making it 18 shots in his last eight Serie A games.

It has been a similar story in the Champions League, where he had three efforts in both legs against Bayern, having also taken two at home to Feyenoord in the last 16.

One or two more should be not be beyond him in Catalonia.

Denzel Dumfries to be carded

We’re adding a Dumfries card to the above for the 17/1 shot.

The wing-back has received eight cards this season and, despite not being booked in any of his last six outings, continues to toe the disciplinary tightrope.

The Dutchman has committed at least two fouls in his last six Serie A games and at least one in all of his last 18, while in Europe it’s 17 fouls in his last eight.

He will play up against Raphinha, arguably the best player in world football this season, on his right-hand side.

Adam Drury's recommended bets for Barcelona vs Inter Milan

1pt - Barcelona to win, over 1.5 goals and Calhanoglu to take 1+ shot - 6/4 (Midnite)

0.5pt - Barcelona to win, over 1.5 goals, Calhanoglu 2+ shots and Dumfries to be carded - 17/1 (Unibet)