Sunderland vs Millwall: Betting Odds & Prediction

(Featured image: Alamy Images)

Written by: Bradley Walker

Sunderland host Millwall in the Sky Bet Championship on Saturday with just six points separating the two sides. 

Both clubs played out a 1-1 draw at the Den earlier in the season. Kick-off is set for 3pm UK time at the Stadium of Light. 

Recent Form 

Sunderland 

The hosts come into the game unbeaten in their last three, most recently earning an impressive 1-0 victory at play-off hopefuls West Bromwich Albion. Sunderland have lost just one of their last six - a 5-1 home defeat to Blackburn Rovers at the start of the month. The form has left them in 13th position after 43 matches played. 

The Black Cats' home form has been far superior to their record in away fixtures, but they've not picked up three points at the Stadium of Light since their 3-1 ousting of Plymouth Argyle back in February. Three of the five subsequenet matches at the venue have ended in a draw. 

Nevertheless, their average of 1.43 goals scored at home is better than the solitary one they've averaged in away games, though Sunderland do tend to concede more in front of their home fans (1.29 at home compared to 1.05 in away games). 

33% of their home fixtures have also seen Sunderland fail to score, as has been the case in three of their last four matches on home turf. They've also conceded in 71% of their home matches. 

Millwall

The Lions have bounced back from damaging defeats to Rotherham United and Huddersfield Town with consecutive victories. A shock 1-0 victory over promotion-chasing Leicester City was followed by a 3-1 win over Cardiff City at The Den to all but secure Millwall's Championship status for next season. 

A win this weekend would see Neil Harris' side, currently in 16th, move within three points of Saturday's opponents as they look to propel themselves further up the table.

Their form on the road this season makes this unlikely, however; Millwall have averaged a measly point in away fixtures this season, and have lost their last three games on their travels. Millwall's last away win dates back to February, where they upset Southampton with a 2-1 victory at St. Mary's Stadium. 

Scoring goals has proved particularly problematic, with the London outfit averaging a dismal 0.98 throughout the campaign, though this increases ever so slightly to one in away games. 33% of their away matches have failed to produce a single Millwall goal. 

Prediction

Sunderland are now guaranteed to remain in the Championship next season, while Millwall's own status is all but secure following recent successes at home. Their away form is a concern, but they also face a Sunderlnad side who haven't secured three points on home soil in over two months. 

One thing both sides have in common is their lack of goals; the home side have failed to score in 33% of matches at the Stadium of Light, while Millwall have failed to find the net in the same amount of away matches this term. OddsNow anticipate another tight affair this weekend. 

OddsNow's Pick: Under 2 goals scored (2/1 @ StarSports)