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Chelsea's form has dramatically dropped since the turn of the year, but failure to beat Premier League minnows Southampton would be a new low.
Odds Now's tipster Brad Walker (@brad_TWalker) runs his eye over the fixture ahead of kick-off on Tuesday evening.
It's fair to say February hasn't quite gone to plan for Chelsea. The Blues headed into the month unbeaten in four, yet have now lost four of their last five matches in all competitions.
A Marco Asensio double sunk Enzo Maresca's men at Villa Park on Saturday, marking their latest blow to their quest for a spot in next season's Champions League.
Perhaps some solace can be found in their recent records at Stamford Bridge, where they are unbeaten in their last four outings in all competitions.
Chelsea haven't been beaten at home since their dramatic 2-1 loss to Fulham on Boxing Day, though a lack of clean sheets on home turf remains a concern.
They've not registered one in front of their home fans since a 3-0 win over Aston Villa at the start of December.
Still, dropping points against this dismal Southampton side would be the most eye-opening result Chelsea have suffered yet.
The Saints remain glued to the bottom of the table after a 4-0 home battering at the hands of Brighton on Saturday afternoon.
Ivan Juric's men have picked up just nine points all season and already find themselves 13 points adrift of safety.
With just one win in their last 16 league outings, a return to English football's second tier is already looking inevitable.
Unsurprisingly, the hosts come in firm odds-on favourites at 2/9, though backing the visitors to nick a goal before ultimately coming up short does boost that price a little further.
Having already mentioned Chelsea's tendency to concede at home, it should also be noted that the Brighton defeat is the only time Southampton have failed to score in their last six matches.
In fact, both teams have scored in five of Chelsea's last six, making the 27/20 price on offer from Midnite an appealing proposition indeed.
Caicedo's late yellow at Villa Park means he's now been cautioned in four of his last five in the league.
The Ecuadorian has also committed the second-highest number of fouls in the division (55), behind Ipswich forward Liam Delap (56).
Averaging 2.9 tackles per game, the 23-year-old is no stranger to getting stuck in and the 4/1 price on offer for him to be booked again is far too big to turn down.
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