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Brentford host Fulham in a West London derby on Saturday afternoon in the Premier League.
Another win for the home side will cement their place in the division next season. The Bees secured a 3-0 away win in the reverse fixture back in August.
Kick-off is set for 3pm UK time at the Gtech Community Stadium.
The hosts have pulled away from the relegation zone with a run of form which has seen them lose just once in their last six. The sole defeat came last time out when they succumbed to a 2-0 loss away at Everton. Thomas Frank's side still sit ten points clear of the relegation zone though, and another three points here will mathematically secure their safety for next term.
Their home form has been their saviour this season. The 1.24 points averaged in home fixtures is a significant improvement on the meagre 0.78 averaged on the road. Brentford are also undefeated in their last four home outings, most recently securing a 2-0 home win over Sheffield United in April.
Frank's men have had little trouble finding the net regardless of the venue, though an average of 1.59 scored at home is better than the 1.39 managed in away games. Conceding has been a huge issue, though; only the current bottom three have conceded more at home than the 30 put past Brentford so far. They also have only three home clean sheets to their name.
Next up it's the derby 👊#BREFUL | @premierleague pic.twitter.com/oo8HPlQkBb
— Brentford FC (@BrentfordFC) May 1, 2024
Marco Silva's men have enjoyed a successful campaign, and currently find themselves 13th in the table. While a second consecutive top-half finish is unlikely, Fulham will be buoyed by the season's return given the departure of star striker Aleksandar Mitrović in the summer. Many tipped the Cottagers to struggle, yet their safety has never been threatened as the final weeks of the season draw nearer.
One worry has been their away form, though. Only three sides have a worse record on the road than Silva's men this season. Like Brentford, conceding goals has been a major problem, particularly in away matches.
With 35 of their 55 shipped coming on the road, Fulham have averaged an alarming 2.06 per game, and have managed only three away clean sheets so far.
Given both sides' defensive records, goals can certainly be expected in this one. Brentford's home matches have averaged 3.35 in total so far, while Fulham's matches on the road have seen an average of 3.24.
OddsNow anticipate more goalscoring action this weekend with the home side coming out on top to secure their place in the division for next season.