Bournemouth vs Everton: Betting Odds & Prediction

(Featured image: Alamy Images)

Written by: James O'Brien

Everton travel to Bournemouth on Saturday with the away side looking to further boost their survival chances.

Every point counts for Everton, who anxiously await the verdict of their second breach of the Premier League's Profit and Sustainability Rules. Their first saw them suffer a six-point deduction. 

Recent Form

Bournemouth

The Cherries have enjoyed a solid Premier League campaign this season after a shaky start, sitting in 13th and 14 points clear of the relegation zone. Andoni Iraola's side produced a fantastic comeback against Luton last time out. After finding themselves 3-0 down in the first half, the home side produced an excellent second half display to eventually win 4-3.

Bournemouth have actually fared better on away soil than in their home games, where they've averaged only 1.21 points per game after 14 matches. This compares with 1.29 PPG on the road.

They have averaged just 1.29 goals per home game, despite boasting an expected goal (xG) tally of 1.54 at the Vitality. They have also failed to score in 43% of their home fixtures.

They've also made habit of conceding goals, with an average 1.64 shipped per home match so far. This is despite their projected expected goals against (xGA) figure sitting at 1.48 on home turf. Even more concerning, Bournemouth have managed clean sheets in only 21% of home fixtures. 

Everton

Sean Dyche's side are still yet to record a league victory in 2024. They've massively underperformed in front of goal, scoring just 29 goals in 28 league games so far. 

However, Everton's performance on the road has been much better than on home turf. An average of 1.29 points per away match is much better than the 0.93 they've managed at home.

Nevertheless, Dyche will still be concerned with his side's lack of threat going forward. Everton have struggled to take their chances on their travels, with an xG of 1.3 leading to an average of just one goal per game. They've also failed to score in 43% of these fixtures.

Their defensive statistics make for even harder reading; 1.5 goals conceded per match compares with an xGA of 1.55, with the Toffees conceding in 71% of away matches. 

Prediction

The game peculiarly presents a home side who performs better on the road and an away side who seem to prefer games on away turf. Despite their stuttering home form overall this year, Bournemouth are undefeated in their last two outings at the Vitality (W1, D1) and have scored six goals in that same period. They're also bolstered by striker Dominic Solanke who already has 15 goals to his name in the league. 

This compares with an Everton side who have scored two or more in just 28% of away fixtures, while conceding at least two in 56%. Forwards Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Beto only have five goals between them this term.

In a tough game to pick, OddsNow back the home side to continue their rich scoring form with another three points this weekend.

OddsNow's Picks: Bournemouth to win (5/4 @ BetUK); Over 1.5 home goals scored (Evens @ Betfair)

 

 

Previous Next