Wolves vs Arsenal: Betting Odds & Prediction

(Featured image: Alamy Images)

Written by: Mark McLaughlin

Wolverhampton Wanderers play host to title challengers Arsenal as the Premier League title race looks likely to go down to the wire. Arsenal currently sit in second place, two points behind Manchester City and level on points with Liverpool with six games left in the league.

Wolves come into this game sitting in 11th place in what can be deemed a successful season following their turbulent summer, which saw current manager Gary O’Neil replace Julen Lopetegui at the helm. 

The game will kick-off at 7.30pm UK time.

Recent Form 

Wolves

Wolves come into this game in relatively poor form, with only one win in their last five. Their last game saw them draw 2-2 away against Nottingham Forest with Matheus Cunha scoring a brace for Wolves as they came from behind. There recent form has saw them lose to Aston Villa and West Ham, as well as being knocked out of the FA Cup by championship side, Coventry City.

Wolves have conceded the ninth least goals in the league this season but have drastically outperformed their xGA (expected goals against) by conceding 7.44 less goals than expected, the third biggest differential in the league. At home, Wolves have averaged a worrying xGA of 1.47 per game. 

Offensively, only six teams have scored less than Wolves this season in the league, with Wolves averaging 1.44 goals per game. Nevertheless, they still have an impressive 47%-win rate at home this season.

When it comes to goals, Wolves have been reliant on Matheus Cunha and Hee-Chan Hwang to score, with them scoring 11 and 10 respectively. Hwang’s return to action after suffering an injury last month is a much needed boost for Wolves’ attack. Pedro Neto and Pablo Sarabia have been their most creative players, with nine and seven assists respectively.

Arsenal 

Arsenal come into this game after losing 2-0 at home to Aston Villa last weekend. The loss has raised big questions following their collapse at the end of last season. Before this loss, Arsenal won three of their four premier league games, with the only blemish being a 0-0 draw away at champions Manchester City.

Arsenal have been the second-best attacking team this season with 2.34 goals scored per game, outperformed their expected goals (xG) tally by 0.5 goals in the process. Mikel Arteta's men have an excellent away record, winning 63% of their games on the road while scoring 2.31 goals per game.

Defensively, Arsenal have been the best team in the division, conceding just 0.81 goals per game. Centre-back duo, Gabriel and William Saliba have been particularly impressive for the Gunners. Their record on the road makes for even better reading, where they've shipped an average of just 0.69 goals. 

Bukayo Saka has been Arsenal’s star man this season, with 14 goals and seven assists in the league this season. Midfielder Martin Odegaard has also been superb for Arsenal with seven goals and six assists in the league. He should be fit for this game after coming off injured in the game against Villa.

Prediction

Despite Arsenal coming into this game as favourites, there are big questions for the Gunners to answer after their terrible form towards the end of last season when they were in pole position to win the league. They will have been wounded further by their 1-0 defeat at Bayern Munich midweek which saw them bow out of the Champions League. 

Eyes will be watching whether they repeat their end of season collapse from last year, but OddsNow expect the Gunners to return to winning ways this weekend to pile pressure back on Manchester City, who were also knocked out of Europe midweek. 

OddsNow's Pick: Arsenal to win 'to nil' (5/4 @ Sky Bet)