Portugal vs Denmark: 13/5 tip for Lisbon clash

Portugal welcome Denmark for the second leg of their Nations League quarter-final tie on Sunday after suffering a 1-0 loss in Copenhagen four days prior. 

Odds Now's Brad Walker (@brad_TWalker) has taken a closer look at the match-up and picked out a 15/8 fancy. 

Portugal vs Denmark analysis - Danes stun Selecao in first leg

A 1-0 defeat in the first leg condemned Portugal to their first defeat since their Euro 2024 quarter-final loss to France in July last year. 

Roberto Martinez's men now know only a victory will leave them with a chance of progressing to the Nations League semi-finals. 

In fairness, Portugal have won each of their last four on home turf and, outside of a major tournament, haven't lost at home since June. 

Still, Denmark will take plenty of encouragement from their dominant performance on Thursday evening. 

Brian Riemer's side recorded 23 shots on total, nine of which were on target, to secure their first win in five. 

Rasmus Højlund scores the winner 🇩🇰#NationsLeague pic.twitter.com/CBOzdSfuBm

— UEFA EURO (@UEFAEURO) March 20, 2025

Best bet for Portugal vs Denmark on Sunday, March 23, 2025

Portugal to win & BTTS - 13/5

It remains hard to look past Portugal winning here, despite their paltry performance in Copenhagen on Thursday. 

The hosts won all three of their home group games while scoring nine in the process, which explains why they remain solid 7/10 favourites to win the second leg. 

But, I've found a way of boosting that price a little further. 

Now, both teams scored in all three of those aforementioned home games. In fact, both sides found the net in five of Portugal's last seven regardless of the venue. 

Their defensive fragility was also on show in the loss to Denmark on Thursday. The Danes may not have scored until the 78th minute, but still averaged an impressive 2.78 xG across the match, proving themselves to be a consistent goal threat. 

Both teams have also scored in two of Denmark's last four, so the Portugal win with both teams scoring looks a pretty safe bet.

Brad Walker's Portugal vs Denmark best bet