Osasuna vs Real Madrid: Betting Odds & Prediction

(Featured image: Alamy Images)

Written by: Bradley Walker

Real Madrid travel to mid-table Osasuna as they look to move one win closer to a 36th La Liga title. 

Los Blancos currently sit seven points clear of second-placed Girona in the Spanish top-flight. Kick-off is set for 3:15pm UK time at El Sadar Stadium. 

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Osasuna

Jagoba Arrasate's side head into the match in tenth position. Their last league outing saw them suffer a 2-0 away defeat at Girona which was their first loss in six league games. 

Osasuna have averaged 1.5 points per match at home (W6, D3, L5), scoring 15 and conceding 17 in the process. The record sits as the eleventh-best in the division. They have also won four of their last five matches on home turf. 

Despite an expected goal (xG) tally of 1.46 per match, Osasuna have only averaged 1.07 goals per home game so far. They are also conceding more than expected. Their expected goals against (xGA) per home match sits at 1.10, yet they've conceded a slightly higher average of 1.21. 

They have however kept clean sheets in 43% of their home games, an impressive feat for a club of their stature.

Both teams have found the net in 36% of their home matches, and games at El Sadar Stadium have averaged 2.29 goals so far this campaign. 

Real Madrid 

Madrid have been impressive on the road this season, averaging 2.21 points per away game (W9, D4, L1). They are unbeaten in their last four in all competitions, though they've drawn their most recent two at Rayo Vallecano and Valencia. 

Carlo Ancelotti's side have bagged 25 goals while conceding just eleven on their travels, making them the best La Liga team on away soil so far this campaign.

They're slightly exceeding their xG tally of 1.73 with an average of 1.79 goals on the road, and are also excelling in defensive quarters; despite averaging an xGA of 0.82 goals, Los Blancos have conceded 0.5 across their 14 away matches. 

43% of away games have ended with clean sheets for Madrid, who have scored in every away match heading into this fixture. Real have also scored over 1.5 goals in 56% of away games, and over 2.5 goals in 21%. Madrid tend to be the game's first scorers on the road, netting the opening goal in 57% of games on away turf. 

Both teams have found the net in 57% of Madrid away games, which average a total of 2.57 goals in total. 

Prediction

The absence of Madrid talisman Jude Bellingham through suspension will be a blow to the leaders but shouldn't impact the result. Osasuna don't boast a great record at home in terms of scoring or conceding, and have little to play for with their La Liga status all but confirmed for next season. 

Both clubs tend to see plenty of set-piece action, as both Madrid and Osasuna have averaged 9.16 corners in their league matches thus far. 

OddsNow's Picks: Real Madrid to win with over 9.5 corners (1.83/1 @ 10Bet)

 

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