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Norwich City host Leeds United in the first leg of their Sky Bet Championship play-off semi-final on Sunday afternoon.
The hosts are winless in their last three, while Leeds have also lost their last two. Kick-off is set for 12pm UK time at Carrow Road.
Though not enough to derail their play-off ambitions, David Wagner won't have been encouraged by Norwich's recent performances in the second division. Not only have they failed to win in their last three, but they also suffered a 1-0 loss at relegation-battling Birmingham City on the final day of the season.
Fortunately for the Canaries, their home form has been the cornerstone of their success in reaching the play-offs. Only four sides have bettered the 2.13 points Norwich have averaged at Carrow Road this season, and Wagner's men are also unbeaten in their last 15 encounters on home turf. Given their struggles on the road, where they have averaged a meagre 1.04 points, the importance of this first leg cannot be understated if Norwich are to progress to the final at Wembley.
Goals have been flowing when playing in front of their own fans, with Norwich averaging an impressive 1.87 scored per game and failing to score in only two home matches. Their defensive record is also impeccable; only 22 of their 64 goals conceded have been let in at home, and nine of Norwich's 12 clean sheets have also came on home soil.
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The visitors looked set for a spot in the automatic promotion places not so long ago, but a miserable finish to the season has left them reliant on the play-offs for a Premier League return. With just one win in their final five matches, Leeds have also won just two of their last five on the road. They have already managed a league double over Norwich this season, though, including a 3-2 win at Carrow Road back in October.
Daniel Farke's men remain the joint-second-highest scorers in away fixtures this season with 36 goals. They've also failed to score in only three away games, and have already kept nine clean sheets on their travels.
The end-of-season collapse was alarming, but there's no doubting Leeds possess higher quality in attacking areas, buoyed by the exploits of winger Crysencio Summerville. The Dutchman already has 19 goals to his name so far.
Leeds will have to put the final weeks of the season behind them if they are to secure a win against a Norwich side who are much stronger at home. The visitors have already secured two victories against their opponents this season, though, and OddsNow back them to return to winning ways in this one.