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Crystal Palace welcome Manchester City to Selhurst Park on Saturday as the away side look to heap pressure on fellow title-chasers Arsenal and Liverpool.
Earlier in the season, the Eagles managed to scrape a 2-2 draw in added time at the Etihad Stadium. Kick-off is set for 12:30pm UK time.
Palace have been poor at home throughout the season, securing only four wins at Selhurst Park. Three of those four have came in their last five matches on home soil though, and their most recent outing there ended in a 1-1 draw with Luton Town. Their overall form will be a concern, as Palace have recorded just one win in their last five games home and away.
The Eagles home form has also bettered their form on the road, despite the lack of games won. They've averaged 1.14 points per game, compared to only 0.87 in away fixtures.
Goals scored and conceded have been relatively evenly spread in their home matches, with an average of 1.36 scored and 1.43 conceded in home fixtures so far. There's been a worrying lack of clean sheets for Palace though, with them keeping opposition out in just 21% of these games. They've also failed to find the net themselves in 29%.
This Premier League title contest 😮💨
— Premier League (@premierleague) April 3, 2024
🔴 @Arsenal saw through a convincing with against Luton
🔵 @ManCity enjoyed a great victory against Aston Villa
Will @LFC follow suit tomorrow against Sheffield Utd? pic.twitter.com/wgH59QKGV1
Having secured the Treble in the previous season, City look to emulate that success this year. With City being in the Quarter Finals of the Champions League, Semi-Finals of the FA Cup, and only one point off Arsenal who sit top of the Premier League table, the possibility of repeating history is increasing.
Away from home is where they have dropped the most points. They have averaged 2.07 points per match in their away league games (W9, D2, L3). In those games, City have maintained a +13 goal difference in their away games, scoring 29 and conceding 16 in 14 so far.
They have scored at least 1 goal in 85.7% of those away games, while scoring over 2.5 goals in 50% of those games. Away from home, City have conceded +2.5 goals on only one occasion.
Their last five outings home and away have seen three wins and two draws for Pep Guardiola's side heading into the Palace match.
The away side predictably enter as strong favourites to secure the three points, but little value can be found in backing them on the moneyline. Their away fixtures have averaged a total of 3.21 goals so far this season though, while Palace's tendency to concede will surely have City's frontline licking their lips ahead of kick-off.
Palace's have averaged 2.8 goals overall this campaign, with another high-scoring encounter predicted in this one.