Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen: Betting Odds & Prediction
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Bayer Leverkusen are on the brink of a first ever Bundesliga title as they prepare to host Werder Bremen at the Bay Arena on Sunday.
Victory for Leverkusen will see them crowned champions, with an added incentive to stay on course for an invincible season. Werder will be looking to finish the season strongly and arrest a recent poor run of results. Kick-off at the Bay Arena is set for 4:30pm UK time on Sunday.
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Bayer Leverkusen
It has turned into a procession towards the title for Xabi Alonso’s side and they show no sign of letting up. They are on course for an unbeaten season (W24,D4) and are currently on a nine game winning streak in the Bundesliga.
Last week's battling 1-0 win at Union Berlin has taken Leverkusen to within touching distance of the title and bought themselves the opportunity to complete the job in front of their home faithful.
Their success has been built upon a remarkable defensive record which has seen them concede just 19 goals all season at an average 0.68 per match. This significantly outperforms their expected goals against figure (xGA) of 1.02. Incredibly, Leverkusen have also kept a clean sheet in 50% of their league matches this season.
Bayer Leverkusen are the second leading goal scorers in the Bundesliga having amassed 69 goals so far. They have outscored their xG tally of 2.05, by averaging 2.46 goals per match this season. Alonso’s players have tended to share the goals around, with five players having already netted 10+ goals this campaign, including top scorer Victor Boniface.
Bayer Leverkusen are just 𝐎𝐍𝐄 win away from being crowned champions of the Bundesliga 🏆 pic.twitter.com/Pq4Z4bhbWS
— Football on TNT Sports (@footballontnt) April 6, 2024
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen have little to play for in their remaining fixtures, sitting eight points clear of the relegation play off spot, and a long way from any European positions. Despite this, Ole Werner will be desperate for his team to bounce back from a run of six games without a win.
Bremen have lost half of their away league matches this season, giving an ominous feel for their visit to the runaway leaders this weekend. They have scored 36 goals in the league at an average of 1.29 per match, slightly exceeding their xG stats.
They have conceded 44 goals this season, at an average of 1.57 per match, performing as expected by their xGA stats. With Leverkusen averaging 2.71 goals per game at the Bay Arena, Bremen’s difficulties in keeping clean sheets are likely to come under the spotlight once more.
Prediction
There is likely to be a carnival atmosphere in Leverkusen on Sunday afternoon and the players will be determined to seal the title in style. Expect the title chasers to continue their spectacular goal scoring form at home, against a team who generally struggle for clean sheets.