AS Roma vs Sassuolo: Betting Odds & Prediction
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Struggling Sassuolo travel to the Stadio Olimpico to face a Roma side chasing a Champions League place in Serie A on Sunday.
Kick-off is set for 5pm UK time in the Italian capital.
Recent Form
AS Roma
Despite the 1-0 loss away to Brighton mid-week, Roma come into this game in good form having gone the five games beforehand unbeaten (4W, 1D). The hosts' home form has been a key factor in maintaining their hunt for Champions League football, with Roma having won nine of their 14 league games at the Olimpico compared to only five on the road. Their goal difference is significantly better there too, standing at +18 compared to only +1 in away matches.
Roma are also outperforming their home expected goal (xG) tally of 1.32 with an impressive 2.36 goals per match so far. They are also maintaining 1.07 goals conceded per game compared to their expected goals against (xGA) tally of 1.1 on home soil. Daniele De Rossi's side have also scored in each of their home outings in Serie A so far.
The home side also come into the game in rich goalscoring form, having scored 24 goals in their last ten outings while only conceding twelve.
The Romans will hope to keep the pressure on the top four as they sit fifth, just three points behind fourth-placed Bologna. They will also been keen to put some distance between themselves and Atalanta,
who are only one point behind them in sixth.
This is how we stand ahead of #SerieA's 𝗠𝗮𝘁𝗰𝗵𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝟮𝟵 ⚽️ pic.twitter.com/nw3kMwN6Al
— Lega Serie A (@SerieA_EN) March 14, 2024
Sassuolo
The away side are currently battling at the other end of the Serie A table, coming in at 19th. Since the start of December they have managed to claim eight points in total, with only one coming on the road in a 2-2 draw with Udinese.
Sassuolo have conceded an average of 2.14 goals per away game so far despite averaging an xGA of just 1.65. They have also failed to keep a clean sheet on the road so far.
Sassuolo are also averaging just 1.07 goals per game despite averaging an xG tally of 1.29, converting just 11% of shots taken on away soil.
Their last game saw them secure a 1-0 home victory to fellow strugglers Frosinone, who are now just one point ahead. A win in Rome could see them overtake Empoli (17th) and Lecce (16th), who are both two points ahead on 25 points.
Prediction
Roma predictably enter as strong favourites but there is little value on offer in the moneyline given the extent of Sassuolo's troubles on the road. The home side are in rich scoring form despite the loss against Brighton in midweek, and have made habit of finding the net in front of their home fans in the capital.